Sunday, June 12, 2011

2011 Belmont Stakes Predictions

2011 Belmont Stakes Predictions

Exercise rider Carlos Rosas gallops Kentucky Derby hopeful Nehro on the track during early morning workouts at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky, May 5, 2011. REUTERS/Jeff Haynes (UNITED STATES ? Tags: SPORT HORSE RACING)

The third and final leg of the Triple Crown will be run tonight at 6:36PM ET and as usual, I?m here to produce some good fade material.

Actually, my predictions for the Preakness weren?t half-bad. After going 0-3 picking the money horses in the Kentucky Derby, I nailed Animal Kingdom and Astrology to finish on the board at Pimlico. Maybe tonight at Belmont Park is my night!

Nah ? fade me.

WIN: NEHRO (4/1)
Many observers believe that this year?s Belmont Stakes will be a three-horse race between Animal Kingdom (2/1), Nehro (4/1) and Shackleford (9/2). But out of those three contenders, Nehro is the freshest after sitting out of the Preakness and that?s important considering the Belmont is a 1.5-mile race. Nehro has also already shown that he can hang with Animal Kingdom after finishing second at the Kentucky Derby. I like him to pull off the small upset tonight.

PLACE: ANIMAL KINGDOM (2/1)
Apparently there?s a 50-percent chance that it could rain tonight at Belmont Park, so I?m a little concerned about all the favorites. But Animal Kingdom is just too good to leave off the board. And while I?ve predicted Nehro to finish ahead of him, I wouldn?t be surprised if the 2011 Kentucky Derby champion won easily. In six career starts, he hasn?t finished lower than second in any of them and has three career wins, including back-to-back victories in the Grade 3 Spiral Stakes and the Kentucky Derby.

SHOW: MUCHO MACHO MAN (10/1)
I predicted Mucho Macho Man to finish second at the Preakness Stakes and he was a major dud, coming in sixth. But apparently he lost a shoe during the race, which contributed to his poor finish. In 10 career races, he?s finished off the board in only two of them. He won the Grade 2 Risen Star back in February and now that he?s been fitted with a new shoe, I love his chances of finishing in the money at the Belmont.

FOURTH: PRIME CUT (15/1)
I usually don?t make a prediction for fourth place but I had to mention this horse because I consider him my sleeper of this year?s Belmont. Prime Cut didn?t run in the Kentucky Derby or the Preakness, but in seven career races he?s never finished lower than fourth and that came in his debut. The only reason I don?t have him finishing in the money is because he?s only raced twice against graded competition and has never made a Grade 1 start.

Source: http://www.scoresreport.com/2011/06/11/2011-belmont-stakes-predictions/

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